NewsPutin's ceasefire offer meets skepticism amid parade tension

Putin's ceasefire offer meets skepticism amid parade tension

Vladimir Putin proposed a ceasefire to Ukraine on the occasion of the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II. President Volodymyr Zelensky responded that this was "another attempt at manipulation." Many indications suggest that on May 9, Ukrainians may disrupt the celebration, which for years has been used by the Kremlin as a display of strength. This year, Russia intends to celebrate the anniversary with particular grandeur.

Since 2000, the May 9 parades have been the apple of Vladimir Putin's eye.
Since 2000, the May 9 parades have been the apple of Vladimir Putin's eye.
Images source: © East News | Wojtek Laski

The ceasefire proposed by Moscow would be in effect from midnight on May 7 to midnight on May 10. Putin cited humanitarian reasons, which—in the context of the ongoing war for over three years and Russian actions in Ukraine—seem not only incredible but downright cynical.

Zelensky criticized the proposed ceasefire delay, calling it another act of manipulation. He questioned why global efforts to halt fighting should be timed around May 7 simply to provide Putin with a quiet backdrop for a parade, emphasizing that human lives should take precedence over ceremonial displays.

Although the response is not an outright rejection of the proposal, it leaves room for interpretation. It is not known, therefore, whether the traditional parade on Red Square—treated in Russia almost like a religious holiday—will proceed uninterrupted.

Victory parades – a symbol of Russian strength

The central celebrations will take place in Moscow, but parades are also planned in provincial cities and the capitals of republics. For several years, they have been of a pedestrian character only. In total, parades are planned in 28 cities: nine bearing the title "heroic" and 19 cities that are the seats of Military Districts and Army commands.

In Soviet times, parades on Red Square were primarily demonstrative—their aim was to intimidate the West. The most important were those organized on May 1 (Labor Day) and November 7 (the anniversary of the October Revolution). The latest, often prototype military equipment was showcased. For example, on May 1, 1947, the Tu-70 passenger plane debuted, and a year later, the Tu-4 bomber—a copy of the American B-29—was introduced.

It was only from 1965 that the May 9 parade began to serve as a "showroom" for Soviet military technology. However, it was not an annual event until 2000, when Putin took power and regularly started holding the celebrations. From 2008, the parades gained an imperial grandeur. Each year featured new generations of missiles, aircraft, and anti-aircraft defense systems.

In 2015, vehicles from the Armata family appeared for the first time—the T-14 tank and the heavy IFV T-15. The Koalitsiya-SV self-propelled howitzer, the Boomerang transporter, and the Kurganets-25 also debuted. In the air, the Su-57—according to the Kremlin's narrative, the first Russian fifth-generation fighter—was presented.

After the invasion – a parade without grandeur

Putin's favorite holiday lost its significance after 2022. The invasion of Ukraine exposed the weaknesses of an army that had been a source of propaganda pride. Heavy equipment began lacking in parades—in regional cities, they entirely gave up on the mechanized component. In the years 2023–2024, the only tank present on Red Square was the historic T-34-85. It was accompanied by Tigr cars, a few transporters, and mobile rocket launchers.

The only new equipment shown after 2022 was the Chinese TX-FQ-01 anti-drone system, available for commercial sale, including on the AliExpress platform. Its presence speaks volumes about the state of the Russian arms industry and the real fear of Ukrainian drones, which increasingly attack Russian cities.

This year, we will certainly see the T-34-85 belonging to the 4th Guards Kantemirovskaya Tank Division again. Russians brought them from Laos in 2019 to embellish the 75th-anniversary celebrations of the war's end.

It is not excluded that this time modern equipment will also appear. For months, Western intelligence has reported that part of the production does not go to the front but remains in the country—perhaps in anticipation of the September 2025 Zapad maneuvers, planned in Belarus and western Russia.

Propaganda versus reality

This year's parade—on account of the round anniversary—will have a special setting. For the Kremlin, it's an opportunity to once again demonstrate the "invincibility" of the Russian army. The official narrative claims that Russia is once again confronting "fascism"—this time Ukrainian.

Putin will certainly prepare a spectacle. The question is whether Ukraine will let him celebrate. So far, Moscow has been rather spared, but in previous years drone attacks effectively disrupted the Kremlin's plans. In 2023, out of concern for safety, parades were canceled in Belgorod, Kursk, Rostov-on-Don, and Sevastopol.

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