War in Ukraine: Historian Jörg Baberowski's stark assessment

Sunday, June 9, marks the 837th day of the war. In the daily communiqué, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported enemy losses. In the past 24 hours, Russia suffered losses of 1,270 soldiers (518,560 since 02/24/22), 60 artillery units (13,593 since the beginning of the war), and 26 tanks (7,869).

In recent days, the Ukrainians have managed to stop the Russian offensive near Kharkiv. However, German expert Jörg Baberowski believes that Russia will still achieve its goals in the war with Ukraine.

Putin will not lose this war. (...) Ukraine is running out of men, and its dependency on American and European arms production is growing. Western weapons systems need to be replaced, repaired, and supplied with ammunition. I doubt the Americans and Europeans will want to be permanently involved in this,” said German historian Jörg Baberowski in an interview with "Der Spiegel."

The German historian with Polish roots (the historian's grandfather was Polish) believes that Ukraine cannot achieve a military victory over Russia. He also notes that Putin's army does not have the resources to decisively tip the scales of victory in its favor.

Therefore, Baberowski warns against Putin, who he believes has adopted a strategy of harassing Ukraine and its allies. The dictator is playing the "war fatigue" card – "Eventually, Putin will get what he demands," notes the German expert.

The 63-year-old German historian also sees that the war in Ukraine will have internal consequences in Russia. This includes enlightening the Russian elites that Putin's ambitions to revive the Soviet Union are just a pipe dream.

Russia will learn lessons from this war. Its elites will understand that Russia's military capabilities are limited, and its weapons systems cannot compete with the West. Putin may dream of resurrecting the Soviet Union, but that dream will not come true,” concluded Baberowski.