Ukraine's Urgent Ammunition Needs and the Looming Fall of Putin's Regime

The government's point person for Ukraine's reconstruction, Paweł Kowal, has urged for immediate action to provide Ukraine with ammunition. "We need to mobilize everyone possible to get ammunition to Ukraine now, not in six months, to intimidate Putin," he stressed. Kowal also mentioned that the process of Russia's fragmentation has already begun.

During a broadcast on RMF FM, Kowal highlighted that the current situation is crucial for Poland's security as well as Central Europe's. He pointed out the Polish government's involvement is deliberate. "The active roles of Prime Minister Donald Tusk, Minister Radosław Sikorski, the Polish parliament, and myself aim to ensure the swift delivery of ammunition to Ukraine, to instill fear in Putin," Kowal explained.

Kowal also noted the strategic significance of preventing Russian advances in Eastern Ukraine. "If Russia manages to breakthrough, recapture the initiative, and seize a major city, it would undermine the West's position, which has supported Ukraine. This could lead to voices in Western countries suggesting negotiations with Russia," he emphasized.

In the discussion, journalist Marek Tejchman brought up recent insights from "The Economist" about a potential large-scale Russian assault on Kharkov this summer.

The chairman of the parliamentary foreign affairs committee stated his preference for action over fear. "We are rallying our Western partners to secure ammunition immediately. This is about addressing a real threat, not indulging in whimsy. I say this as someone who visited the frontline two weeks ago," Kowal stressed.

He praised the Ukrainian military's organizational advancements over the past two years.

Kowal discussed the misconceptions about Russia's strength. "The narrative of Russia's might is largely drawn from Russian sources. If they were as powerful as claimed, this conflict would have unfolded differently. They failed to take Kyiv, showing limitations both politically and militarily," he said.

He is convinced that we're witnessing the slow disintegration of Russia, a process he expects to last about a decade. "History shows us that Russia has undergone fragmentation before, following major conflicts. This current phase will not be quick, but eventual fracturing is inevitable," Kowal argued.

Kowal believes that internal pressures within Russia will intensify. "Putin's hold will weaken over time. We are in a challenging phase right now, necessitating support for Ukraine to prevent further Russian advances. It's imperative for the West to remain steadfast. Ultimately, the strain might lead to Putin's downfall, perhaps even by those closest to him," he concluded.