Russia's fighter jet production stalls amid conflict
The production of combat aircraft in Russia has not increased despite the ongoing conflict with Ukraine and the recorded losses that necessitate replenishment. Ukrainian analyst Oleksandr Kovalenko highlights stagnation, and in some cases, a downward trend in Russian production, which remains below the levels of 2014.
The forecast for 2025 does not suggest any reversal of this trend in Russian combat aircraft production. Kovalenko emphasizes that current levels are far from the peak periods. In 2014, Russia produced 101 combat aircraft, which was the highest figure in recent years.
How many combat aircraft does Russia produce?
In 2024, the Russians produced only 28 combat aircraft. By the end of May 2025, the Russian air force had received just eight new aircraft. Among them were four Su-35 fighters delivered in two batches and two Su-34 bombers. Throughout 2024, 12 Su-34 bombers were delivered in six batches. This production pace does not allow for quick replenishment of losses.
The Su-34 is considered the backbone of Russian combat aviation and is actively used during the war in Ukraine. It is a tactical bomber developed in the 1990s, powered by two AL-31F M1 engines, and can reach speeds of up to 1,180 mph. Its armament includes a GS-30-1 aircraft cannon with a 30 mm caliber and an optional arsenal of up to 18,000 lbs carried on external pylons. These include KABs, which are glide bombs that significantly impact the Ukrainians.
Problems with the production of the Su-57
Kovalenko also notes that the production of the more modern Su-57 fighters is problematic for the Russians. In 2025, only two such aircraft were delivered to the army. These aircraft can carry, among other things, Ch-69 cruise missiles.
The expert emphasizes that despite the losses suffered by the Russian air forces in Ukraine, production has not risen to levels seen in previous years. In 2025, Russia has the capacity to produce one Su-35 fighter every 1 to 2 months.