NewsPowell signals rate cut, stock market surges and yields fall

Powell signals rate cut, stock market surges and yields fall

Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Fed
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Fed
Images source: © Getty Images | Andrew Harnik

10:07 AM EDT, August 24, 2024

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that a rate cut in the US is approaching. His words sparked euphoria in the stock market, leading to a strong close with major indexes posting gains and yields on US Treasury bonds falling.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.14% to close at 41,175.08 points. The S&P 500 increased by 1.15%, ending the day at 5,634.61 points. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.47% to 17,877.79 points. The Russell 2000 index of medium-cap companies gained 3.08% to 2,216.28 points. The VIX volatility index dropped 10.09% to 15.78 points.

For the entire week, the Dow and Nasdaq gained about 1.3%, and the S&P 500 rose 1.4%.

On Friday, stocks rose, and bond yields fell after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced expectations that the central bank would cut interest rates in September.

The time has come to adjust monetary policy. The road ahead is clear, and the timing and pace of interest rate cuts will depend on incoming data, evolving outlooks, and the balance of risks, said the Fed Chairman.

- We will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we progress toward price stability. With the appropriate reduction in the restrictiveness of monetary policy, there are good reasons to believe that the economy will return to 2% inflation while maintaining a strong labor market. The current level of interest rates gives us enough room to respond to any risks we may face, including the risk of undesirable further weakening of labor market conditions, he added.

Kansas City Fed president waiting for data

New home sales in the US in July reached 739,000 annually, compared to the expected 623,000. The previous month recorded sales of 668,000 after an adjustment from 617,000.

On a month-to-month basis, sales rose 10.6% compared to a 0.3% increase the previous month, after a revision from -0.6%. Analysts had expected a 1.0% increase.

Federal fund futures contracts in the US indicate the likelihood of interest rate cuts at the three remaining Fed meetings this year, pointing to one 0.50 percentage point cut at one of the meetings.

Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said he wants to see more data before endorsing cuts. His counterpart from Boston, Susan Collins, mentioned that a gradual, methodical pace with regard to interest rate cuts is likely to be appropriate.

Companies recovering losses, stocks up

Shares of semiconductor manufacturers such as Nvidia, Broadcom, and Qualcomm rose by several percent, recovering losses from declines in the previous session. Tesla gained about 4% at the end of the day.

Shares of pet product retailer Chewy surged after Piper Sandler upgraded the company's stock rating to "overweight" from "neutral." Shares of Peloton fell after a 35% rise during the previous session, following a JPMorgan downgrade to "neutral" from "overweight." Warby Parker gained after JMP Securities upgraded the company's stock rating to "overweight" from "equal weight."

Workday shares climbed over 10% after the human capital management software provider exceeded market expectations for second-quarter revenue and announced a $1 billion share repurchase plan.

Ross Stores shares rose several percent after the retailer raised its profit forecast for the 2024 fiscal year.

On the oil market, August WTI contracts rose 2.56% to $74.87 per barrel, while August Brent futures increased 2.32% to $79.01.

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