Polls show Trump leading Biden in key 2020 states amid voter shift
12:57 PM EDT, May 13, 2024
Donald Trump significantly leads Joe Biden in five out of six pivotal states where Biden emerged victorious in the 2020 presidential election, as revealed by the latest Sienna College and The New York Times poll. The findings point out a declining support for Biden amongst the youngest voters, Latinos, and African Americans.
The emergence of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., projected to secure 10 percent of the vote, does little to sway the overall results, as he equally detracts votes from both Trump and Biden.
Biden's decline among young voters
Trump has garnered 20 percent support among African American voters, marking the highest result for a Republican candidate since the 1960s. Moreover, Biden is losing traction with more moderate voters, with 13 percent of those who voted for him in 2020 planning to shift their allegiance due to the administration's policy on the Gaza Strip conflict.
The newspaper underscores the heightened disenchantment among young voters and minorities with the economic climate, along with their desire for change, which they believe Trump is more likely to initiate. A significant portion of the electorate calls for systemic overhaul, with 55 percent advocating for major changes, 27 percent for minor adjustments, and 14 percent for a complete dismantling of the system.
Nonetheless, a silver lining for Biden might be a potentially higher election turnout; he performs better among likely voters than all registered voters. With this consideration, Biden still leads in Michigan but loses narrowly in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Success in these states could potentially secure his electoral victory.