Harris edges out Trump in latest YouGov poll by 2 points
7:12 AM EDT, August 1, 2024
According to a YouGov poll for The Economist, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump by two percentage points. This marks a significant shift, as Trump recently had better results against Harris and Joe Biden.
According to the latest poll, 46% of registered voters want to vote for Kamala Harris, while Republican candidate Donald Trump commands the support of 44%.
Three percent of voters want to vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and eight percent are undecided or do not want to vote.
In recent weeks, Trump had fared better than the Democrats in YouGov polls, holding a 2-3 percentage point lead over Biden. After the president decided not to seek re-election, 41% of voters intended to vote for Harris, while 44% supported Trump.
According to YouGov, Harris's support increased among African Americans, Latinos, women, and people under 30.
Who will be Harris's vice-presidential candidate?
It is not yet known who Harris's vice-presidential candidate will be. YouGov examined how Americans view certain politicians. Pete Buttigieg is the most popular, with a 38% favorability rating, although he also has the most opponents, with 37%. Mark Kelly is seen as a good candidate by 33%, while 23% are critical of his candidacy.
Among declared Democratic Party voters, 69% want Buttigieg on Harris's ticket, and 56% indicated Kelly.
The poll was conducted among 1,605 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to November 1, 2022, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (33% Democratic, 31% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.
