Experts warn of Russia's strategy to destabilize the Balkans via Serbia
Experts from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) have warned about Russia's attempts to open a new front in the Balkans in its ongoing conflict with the West. They argue that Putin's administration may leverage Serbia to destabilize Kosovo or Bosnia and Herzegovina.
7:08 AM EDT, March 22, 2024
Follow our live coverage for the latest updates on the war in Ukraine.
In a "Wall Street Journal" article, authors Ivana Stradner and Mark Montgomery discuss how, amidst NATO's 75th-anniversary celebrations and Russia's setbacks in Ukraine, Moscow seeks to shift its focus to the Balkans.
The experts highlight that Russia's strategy may not involve deploying its own troops. Instead, it could instigate violence by influencing Serbia, potentially leading to increased unrest and instability.
Stradner and Montgomery reference preparations for a new campaign of violence and provocation in 2024, noting a recent build-up of Serbian troops and equipment near the Kosovo border.
Russia aims to fuel more conflict in Europe
The FDD's analysis outlines several actions Russia might undertake to worsen tensions in the Western Balkans, including conducting influence operations to provoke armed conflicts. The analysts also observe an uptick in Serbian defense spending, which they interpret as a sign of gearing up for potential escalation.
The delivery of Chinese arms to Belgrade is also mentioned as a factor that could heighten regional tensions and escalate conflict risks.
Regarding Bosnia and Herzegovina, Stradner and Montgomery express concerns about the country's stability, particularly due to potential secession movements by the Republika Srpska, one of the country's three constituent entities. They recall statements by the pro-Russian president of Republika Srpska, Milorad Dodik, about his aspirations for independence.
