Europe's security at risk: Russian threat looms post-Ukraine war
The Danish Military Intelligence (FE) has presented three scenarios of threats to Europe from Russia after the end of the war with Ukraine. These scenarios assume that the United States will not support the European NATO countries, and these countries will not sufficiently strengthen their defense.
According to FE, it is unlikely that Russia will start a war against NATO countries while continuing military actions in Ukraine. However, once the conflict ends, Russia may free up significant military resources, enhancing its military capabilities and posing a direct threat to NATO.
The report assesses that Russia will need about six months after the war with Ukraine to be capable of waging a local war in a neighboring country. Within two years, Russia could pose a real threat to one or more NATO countries, and be ready for a regional war involving several countries in the Baltic Sea region.
Long-term threat
Danish intelligence predicts that in about five years, Russia will be prepared for a large-scale war on the European continent. This scenario would be plausible if the Kremlin believes that the United States will not come to Europe’s aid and European NATO countries do not bolster their defenses at the same pace as Russia.
The Danish military intelligence report emphasizes that Europe must increase its defense capabilities to counter potential threats from Russia. The Danish service highlights the need for cooperation and coordination within NATO to ensure the continent's security.
