Europe must prepare defense against Russia within two years, warns British expert

Bronk emphasizes the possibility that if the situation in Ukraine shifts in favor of the Kremlin or results in a stalemate, Russia could amass significant conventional weapons. He also explains the United States will likely prioritize engagement in the Indo-Pacific region, aiming to contain China.

Consequently, Bronk asserts that Europe should be ready to fight against Russia independently. He warns that if Russia perceives Europe as defenseless due to the U.S. focusing on other regions, the risk of an attack could increase.

In his latest analysis, Bronk argues that "European NATO members need to increase their investment in ammunition production and commit their forces and military training to critical missions".

In an interview with PAP, he remarked that the ongoing war in Ukraine and the level of support for Kyiv are evidence that Europe recognizes the direct threat Russia poses. Hence, some countries have transferred a substantial portion of their weapon stockpiles to Ukraine.

Bronk states that only a few European countries realize that containing Russia will be a long-term undertaking. Many commitments to increase defense spending are merely announced. He opines, "Poland is the exception, with its rush to purchase as much weaponry as possible in a short time frame while also developing domestic production".

He expresses concern that if Europe cannot sustain the supply of military equipment to Ukraine, Russia will be incentivized to continue fighting.

According to Bronk, Europe can expand its arms production capacity if sufficient funding is allocated. It also needs to be prioritized not just by defense ministries but also by governments and ministries beyond defense, as many solutions extend beyond the scope of the defense sector.

He warns, "There's no guarantee that Ukraine will win this war. The necessary aid and ammunition must be provided to ensure the best possible outcome. Otherwise, things could go incredibly wrong".

According to the expert, the only way to end the war is by convincing the Kremlin that its prospects of victory are dwindling, not growing.