NewsAsteroid scare fades: 2024 YR4 poses no threat to Earth

Asteroid scare fades: 2024 YR4 poses no threat to Earth

Scientists from NASA and the ESA have almost completely ruled out the threat from the asteroid 2024 YR4. Earlier concerns suggested it might collide with Earth, with the probability of such an event estimated at 3 percent.

The asteroid was expected to hit Earth in 2032. Even the probable flight path of 2024 YR4 was predicted.
The asteroid was expected to hit Earth in 2032. Even the probable flight path of 2024 YR4 was predicted.
Images source: © Wikimedia Commons

After two months of intensive research, scientists from NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) have almost completely ruled out the threat from the asteroid 2024 YR4. According to the Associated Press on Tuesday, initial estimates of the probability of a collision with Earth were 3 percent. Currently, ESA has lowered this risk to 0.001 percent, while NASA has reduced it to 0.0027 percent.

According to scientists, on December 22, 2032, the asteroid will safely pass by Earth and will not pose a threat for the next hundred years. However, as reported by the American space agency, there is a 1.7 percent chance that the object will impact the Moon on that day. This is an increase from earlier estimates, which were at 0.8 percent.

Good news: The asteroid will miss Earth

Telescopes worldwide will continue to observe the asteroid. In March, the James Webb Telescope is set to more accurately determine its size, which is currently estimated to be between 131 and 295 feet.

The asteroid was discovered in December 2024. Since then, it has been closely monitored as a potential threat to Earth.

The object 2024 YR4, whose name marks the year of its first observation, was at the top of the list of asteroids that pose a threat to our planet. It is now known that it will not approach a populated region of space for the next hundred years.

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